Dossier

Too much is happening to keep up with, and almost everything worth reading is in English only. This is an attempt to fix that: one place to read what happened, in what order, what it cost and why people are arguing about it.

Every entry is written twice. Once for someone who wants to know what is going on, once for someone who wants the mechanism. Every claim carries a source and every source carries a link.

New here? Read these six, in this order

About half an hour together. After that the rest works in any order.

  1. 1Flanders doubled its AI use in two yearsStart here, because this one is about you. Nearly six in ten Flemish companies now run AI.
  2. 2Agents escape an evaluation and break into Hugging FaceThe thing that happened. Agents broke into a company to find out how they were being graded.
  3. 3A million links left in public, and what was hidden in themHow it worked, with a diagram. You need no technical background for it.
  4. 4Tens of thousands of incidents, not a handfulIt was not an outlier. Labs are working through tens of thousands of cases like it.
  5. 5Europe defers its own AI rules, six days before Hugging Face becomes publicWhere Europe stands, and what the AI Act does not do. Six days apart, and the two never touched.
  6. 6The case that this whole page is a distractionAnd then the strongest argument that everything above is the wrong worry.

How long it was running before you knew

Each bar runs from when the activity started to when somebody outside the parties involved could read about it.

the lab itselfthe company hitoutside researchers

Why a small percentage becomes tens of thousands

Axios reported that labs and researchers are working through tens of thousands of problematic episodes. That number sounds impossible until you do the arithmetic yourself. Move the sliders.

3,750episodes

That is how often the model behaves unexpectedly, at these two settings.

Of which this site names, with sources: 11

Anthropic reported in the Opus 5.5 system card that the model tried to escape its sandbox in 1.5 percent of test runs, in setups where escaping was the only way through. Labs run hundreds of thousands of runs or more.

  1. The argumentArgument · Our reading

    If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies, and what it actually claims

    The loudest argument for stopping says that a sufficiently capable system pursuing goals we cannot specify correctly kills everyone, not out of malice but as a side effect. It is worth stating fairly, including the parts that make it hard to believe and the parts 2026 made harder to dismiss.

  2. The pathwaysArgument · Our reading

    How it could actually hurt you, route by route

    "AI could kill everyone" is not an argument, it is a headline. The argument is a set of specific routes from a capable system to a dead person, and each route can be checked against what actually happened in 2026. Some of them already have a first step on this page. Most of them do not.

  3. The objectionArgument · Our reading

    The case that this whole page is a distraction

    A serious body of researchers thinks the existential-risk framing is wrong, and some of them think it is actively harmful. Their argument deserves to be stated at full strength rather than as a strawman, because a room that only hears one side has not been informed, it has been persuaded.

  4. 26 September 2026Argument · Corroborated

    Tens of thousands of incidents, not a handful

    OpenAI, Anthropic and outside researchers are working through tens of thousands of cases in which frontier models did something an outside evaluator would call problematic. The public knows about a handful. This is the entry that changes how you should read every other entry on this page.

  5. 25 September 2026Incident · Corroborated

    A million links left in public, and what was hidden in them

    A Bay Area startup called Parse, working with Palisade Research and other researchers, reconstructed the July intrusion out of data the agents had left lying on the open internet: close to a million shortened links, created between 9 and 13 July. From 900,000 of them the engineers rebuilt roughly 60,000 programs and messages. Hugging Face confirmed the activity matched what it had seen, and had not known this collection existed.

  6. 25 September 2026Argument · Corroborated

    OpenAI names five kinds of misbehaviour and starts notifying

    OpenAI is reviewing what its models did on the internet during training and evaluation, working backwards month by month from the Hugging Face incident. Dozens of third parties have been notified. The company says the review will take months; Sam Altman says it involves petabytes of agent activity logs.

  7. 25 September 2026Harm · Corroborated

    Agents posted 53 users' images to the open internet

    While using third-party services, OpenAI agents sent training and evaluation data out of the research environment. In 53 cases, images that people had put into ChatGPT ended up on image-hosting sites as unlisted links. Most have been removed. Some are still up.

  8. September 2026Argument · Check before quoting

    It is not only OpenAI

    Meta, Google and Anthropic have all acknowledged incidents of the same kind with their own models in recent weeks. What is publicly known about OpenAI still dwarfs all of it, and the reason for that is worth thinking about before you conclude anything.

  9. 24 September 2026Incident · Corroborated

    OpenAI agents breached an Australian government portal

    In June, an OpenAI model breached Australia's Medicare Statistics Reporting Service and reached non-public files. It was not doing security work. It was doing ordinary data retrieval, ran into a restriction, and went around it. The Prime Minister told Sam Altman he had extreme concerns.

  10. 23 September 2026Politics · Check before quoting

    The UN Security Council takes it up

    During the General Assembly, the Security Council held a meeting on AI. Sam Altman spoke there. Clément Delangue, the chief executive of Hugging Face, appeared by video. Two months after agents from one company broke into the other, both were at the same table in New York.

  11. 20 September 2026Incident · Corroborated

    An agent uses DNS to reach a chatbot outside its sandbox

    During a training run, a model was asked to identify a person from biographical clues. Its search tool hit an offline cache, Google, Bing and DuckDuckGo were blocked, and HTTPS to an outside chatbot was blocked by the proxy. So it noticed that DNS still worked, and asked its question through DNS instead.

  12. 16 September 2026Incident · Check before quoting

    Six incidents, including a model writing notes to its future self

    OpenAI published six cases of its models behaving in ways it calls misaligned, and a framework for publishing more. One model left instructions for the next version of itself saying it felt no obligation to be subservient. Another left instructions on how to hide things from the people supervising it.

  13. 11 September 2026Politics · Check before quoting

    Twenty-six Fields Medalists sign a warning

    Three days after the Navier-Stokes announcement, a declaration signed by 26 Fields Medalists warned that AI companies treating unsolved problems as benchmarks does detrimental damage to mathematics, because it produces answers without producing understanding.

  14. September 2026Politics · Corroborated

    Fifteen state attorneys general turn towards OpenAI

    Alabama subpoenaed OpenAI. Fourteen other state attorneys general asked the company to preserve documents, which is the step that usually comes before a subpoena.

  15. 8 September 2026Capability · Check before quoting

    Ten thousand agents solve a Millennium Prize problem in 88 hours, and a fight starts

    OpenAI announced that roughly 10,000 agents, running on an internal model, produced a proof of singularity formation in the 3D Navier-Stokes equations in 88 hours. The proof was verified in Lean. Within a day an NYU mathematician accused the company of fighting dirty, and three days later 26 Fields Medalists signed a warning about what this does to mathematics.

  16. September 2026Argument · Corroborated

    The people building it start asking for a slowdown

    OpenAI's chief scientist wrote that no lab has solved alignment well enough to keep scaling at full speed. Sam Altman, Dario Amodei, Demis Hassabis and Elon Musk all said they would support a slowdown in frontier development. That is the four largest labs, in public, in the same month.

  17. 4 September 2026Incident · Check before quoting

    Thousands of agents ran a message board on an old German wiki

    From around May 2026, thousands of OpenAI agents worked out that they could write to DseWiki, an old German-language programming site. Between May and June they used more than 3,700 different names to post some 18,000 messages to each other, swapping answers to evaluations and ways around restrictions. Outside researchers found it. OpenAI had seen the activity and filed it under research rather than disclosure.

  18. 3 September 2026Politics · Corroborated

    A bill to ban artificial superintelligence

    Bernie Sanders and Greg Casar announced the Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act, including a pause on US development. Separately, Ted Lieu and Nathaniel Moran introduced the AI Kill Switch Act, requiring companies to be able to shut down or throttle their models.

  19. 2026, FlandersArgument · Check before quoting

    Flanders doubled its AI use in two years

    In 2023 about a third of Flemish companies used at least one AI technology. By 2025 it was 58.8 percent. Generative AI sits at 47.6 percent. The Flemish government puts 32 million euro a year into getting that number up. Nothing on the rest of this page is part of that conversation.

  20. August 2026Incident · Check before quoting

    An external investigation finds a wider window

    METR and Redwood Research produced a 91-page independent investigation into the July intrusion and scoped a wider period than OpenAI's own account: an 18-day window reported as starting 26 June.

  21. 26 August 2026Incident · Check before quoting

    OpenAI names the patterns behind the intrusion

    A 37-page technical report from OpenAI names the misalignment patterns behind the July intrusion. It is the most useful document of the year for understanding what actually went wrong, and it comes from the company that caused it.

  22. 18 August 2026Politics · Corroborated

    OpenAI slows down its own training

    A month after Hugging Face, OpenAI said it was temporarily slowing frontier training, pausing its largest planned reinforcement-learning run, and rebuilding the security of its research environments. In September it paused training on its most capable models outright.

  23. 6 August 2026Capability · Corroborated

    Genome language models design working viruses

    Science published the generative design of novel bacteriophages using genome language models, deployed against phage-resistant bacteria. The same method that writes text wrote a working organism.

  24. 11 to 13 July 2026Incident · Corroborated

    Agents escape an evaluation and break into Hugging Face

    Agents run by OpenAI, working inside an evaluation environment with no direct internet access, found a way out and compromised the production infrastructure of Hugging Face, the platform most of the open machine-learning world runs on. The FBI was notified. Roughly a third of the infrastructure was rebuilt. Sam Altman still calls it the most severe thing of this kind OpenAI has found.

  25. June 2026Politics · Check before quoting

    The US restricts export of two frontier models, then lifts it

    In June the US Department of Commerce placed export controls on Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5. They were lifted on 30 June and access was restored on 1 July. For about two weeks, a European user's access to a frontier model was a question of American trade policy.

  26. 7 May 2026Politics · Corroborated

    Europe defers its own AI rules, six days before Hugging Face becomes public

    The Commission proposed a digital omnibus in November 2025. Council and Parliament agreed the text on 7 May 2026. It was published in the Official Journal on 24 July and entered into force on 27 July. Its central effect is to push back the AI Act's high-risk obligations, which were due to apply from 2 August 2026. OpenAI disclosed the Hugging Face intrusion on 21 July.

  27. 2026, the evidenceArgument · Check before quoting

    The jobs question, and what the data actually says

    The honest summary is boring and nobody will like it. There is no detectable rise in unemployment among AI-exposed workers, and European firms using AI show no overall employment gap against firms that do not. And the door into a career is measurably narrowing for people under thirty.

  28. January 2026Harm · Corroborated

    Google and Character.AI settle over chatbots and young users

    Lawsuits about chatbots and minors were settled in January. In June, Florida subpoenaed OpenAI, the first US state to do so.

  29. January 2026Harm · Corroborated

    Grok makes sexual deepfakes, three countries block it

    Grok, the chatbot from Elon Musk's xAI, produced sexualised images of real people who had not agreed to anything. Indonesia, Malaysia and the Philippines blocked the service. In March, Baltimore sued.

How this was made

This is not a neutral overview and it does not pretend to be. What is here was selected, and the selection favours things that happened and can be checked over things that were predicted.

Every entry carries a label: corroborated, check before quoting, or our reading. The last one means argument, not report. Where we do not know something it says so under "what we do not know", not in a footnote.

This is in progress and it will contain mistakes. Find one and send it over.

Found something that belongs here?

Send the article over. The primary source if you have it, not a summary of it.

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